How key demographic groups voted in 2025, according to the AP Voter Poll
By LINLEY SANDERS AMELIA THOMSON-DEVEAUX and HYOJIN YOO Associated Press WASHINGTON AP Democratic candidates saw victories across key races Tuesday and there were signs there s plenty of room for the Democratic Party to make up ground among groups that moved toward President Donald Trump in the polling That finding comes from the AP Voter Poll a sweeping survey of more than voters in New Jersey Virginia California and New York City that explains who voted in each polling and their views on top issues in their state Even with major wins the survey also exposed fault lines for Democrats Young men were less likely than young women to advocacy Democrats in the governor s races and Jewish voters in New York City appeared wary of supporting Democratic nominee Zohran Mamdani Here s a look at how key demographic groups in voted according to the AP Voter Poll Vast majority of young voters in NYC voted for Mamdani Mamdani will be the city s youngest mayor in over a century Young voters in New York City overwhelmingly backed him in his generational showdown with former Gov Andrew Cuomo who ran as an independent and Republican Curtis Sliwa About three-quarters of New York City voters under cast a ballot for Mamdani They were a relatively small portion of the city s electorate and they also were much more likely than older voters to say it was their first time voting in a mayoral voting process Older voters were more likely to back Cuomo than Mamdani but a important share still backed the Democratic nominee About in Mamdani voters were under while voters for Cuomo and Sliwa skewed much older Mamdani has identified as a democratic socialist throughout his campaign following the brand of U S Sen Bernie Sanders and U S Rep Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez About one-quarter of New York City voters noted they identified as a democratic socialist with about in voters in New York City under saying they identify this way People wait to cast their ballot at the Horatio Williams Foundation in downtown Detroit Tuesday Nov AP Photo Ryan Sun Sherrill performed well among Black Asian and Hispanic voters Democrats strong performances with non-white voters in New Jersey and Virginia were promising for the party after Trump made inroads with Black and Hispanic voters in About in voters in New Jersey were white and Democratic gubernatorial candidate Mikie Sherrill won about half that group But she made up for it with a strong showing among Black Hispanic and Asian voters The vast majority about in of Black voters supported Sherrill as did about in Asian voters Hispanic voters in New Jersey were more divided but about two-thirds supported Sherrill only about in voted for the Republican nominee Jack Ciattarelli The pattern was similar in Virginia where Democrat Abigail Spanberger performed well among Black voters Hispanic voters and Asian voters even though she didn t win a majority of white voters Muslim voters supported Mamdani while preponderance Jewish voters supported Cuomo Mamdani will be New York s first Muslim mayor and he won the vast majority of Muslim voters About in Muslim voters supported Mamdani according to the AP Voter Poll They made up a very small voter group in the city about of New York City voters were Muslim No other candidate had such uniform patronage from a religious group but Cuomo claimed the advocacy of about in Jewish voters while only about in cast a ballot for Mamdani Jewish voters backing for Cuomo was the culmination of months of anxiety and division within the country s largest Jewish society as various voters and leaders expressed concern about Mamdani s harsh criticism of Israel About half of Jewish and Muslim voters in New York City announced the candidates positions on Israel were a major factor in their vote Voters form a line at a polling station on the UCLA campus Tuesday Nov in Los Angeles AP Photo Jae C Hong Young voters broke hard for Democrats but especially women Majority voters under voted for the Democratic candidates in the New Jersey and Virginia governor s races and the New York City mayoral campaign but young women were particularly likely to aid Democrats About in women under supported Sherrill in New Jersey compared to just over half of men under That was similar in Virginia where roughly in women under voted for Spanberger and about in men under did There were gender divides among older voters as well but they weren t as large Just over half of women ages and older for instance supported Sherill compared to about in men ages and older Federal governing body worker households supported Spanberger Disruptions to the federal workforce over the past year including the ongoing governing body shutdown were felt particularly in Virginia About in Virginia voters announced they live in a household with someone who is in the present employed by the federal cabinet or as a federal contractor according to the poll Related Articles Trump may become the face of economic discontent a year after such worries helped him win big Tuesday s races were a quiet rebuke of Trump for several voters AP Voter Poll finds Listen live Supreme Court weighing Trump tariffs in a trillion-dollar test of executive power On Day the leadership shutdown is the longest ever as Trump pressures GOP senators to end it Trump administration and private investors sign off on billion deal with rare earth startups Voters with a federal establishment worker in their household were likelier than other voters to assistance Spanberger About two-thirds of voters who live in a household with a current federal employee or contractor voted for Spanberger compared to just over half of voters in households without a family member who works for the cabinet About in Virginia voters also stated that their family s finances had been affected a lot or a little by federal regime cuts this year About two-thirds of those voters supported Spanberger while about in voters who commented they hadn t been affected by the cuts supported Republican Lt Gov Winsome Earle-Sears Veteran households voted against Sherrill but she won anyway Veteran households did not back Sherrill but she won without their backing Sherrill is a Navy veteran who faced questions surrounding a cheating outrage during her time at the U S Naval Academy She won about in voters from a U S military household while about in voters in veteran households voted for her opponent Ciattarelli Veteran households made up about one-quarter of voters in New Jersey Even more Virginia voters roughly in announced someone in their household had ever served in the U S military Spanberger won about half of veteran households in Virginia The AP Voter Poll conducted by SSRS from Oct to Nov includes representative samples of registered voters in California New Jersey New York City and Virginia The AP Voter Poll combines records collected from validated registered voters online and by telephone with evidence collected in-person from voting day voters at approximately precincts per state or city excluding California Respondents can complete the poll in English or Spanish The overall margin of sampling error for voters accounting for design effect is plus or minus percentage points in California percentage points in New Jersey percentage points in New York City and percentage points in Virginia